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Red157
550543.1
364168.6
507234.0
Blue190
511438.8
191856.4
505344.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1261136080100140160180157190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.61.4
60.662.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop68.9
End0.0
red by 12.2
1918
#45
56.43.5
48.952.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop56.5
End0.0
Second
5505
#63
43.11.4
38.439.8
Auto0.9
Teleop42.2
End0.0
blue by 1.4
5053
#51
44.63.5
35.739.2
Auto-1.7
Teleop46.3
End0.0
Third
5072
#65
34.01.4
29.731.1
Auto0.4
Teleop33.6
End0.0
blue by 4.8
5114
#87
38.83.5
34.938.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop38.9
End0.0