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Red193
8564.1
14142.7
102554.6
Blue130
70329.9
240543.4
481529.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15270050100200250193130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#16
64.12.4
56.659.0
Auto-0.5
Teleop64.7
End0.0
red by 20.7
2405
#62
43.42.2
31.733.9
Auto1.1
Teleop42.3
End0.0
Second
1025
#19
54.62.4
51.053.4
Auto1.9
Teleop52.7
End0.0
red by 24.7
703
#92
29.92.2
31.433.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.9
End0.0
Third
141
#35
42.72.4
37.439.8
Auto0.9
Teleop41.7
End0.0
red by 12.8
4815
#78
29.82.2
22.524.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop30.2
End0.0