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Red196
171142.0
74446.0
23475.1
Blue207
102458.1
364185.0
1658.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151191050100250300350196207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#36
75.10.7
73.173.8
Auto7.3
Teleop67.8
End0.0
blue by 9.9
3641
#18
85.00.7
73.474.2
Auto0.2
Teleop84.8
End0.0
Second
744
#63
46.00.7
45.946.6
Auto0.6
Teleop45.4
End0.0
blue by 12.4
16
#32
58.40.7
56.256.9
Auto1.0
Teleop57.4
End0.0
Third
1711
#61
42.00.7
44.545.2
Auto1.8
Teleop40.2
End0.0
blue by 16.0
1024
#56
58.10.7
62.463.2
Auto2.5
Teleop55.5
End0.0