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Red148
364158.3
118959.9
525215.2
Blue70
261234.1
148121.0
296039.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130865010015020014870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.90.3
58.158.4
Auto0.9
Teleop59.0
End0.0
red by 20.1
2960
#15
39.80.3
40.239.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop39.9
End0.0
Second
58.30.3
56.556.9
Auto0.4
Teleop58.0
End0.0
red by 24.3
2612
#17
34.10.3
34.434.1
Auto0.5
Teleop33.6
End0.0
Third
5252
#21
15.20.3
13.413.8
Auto0.2
Teleop15.0
End0.0
blue by 5.8
1481
#13
21.00.3
21.321.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.3
End0.0