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Red204
54873.1
102390.0
439518.0
Blue101
520322.4
90439.4
549824.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions190630100150250300350204101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
90.00.4
88.789.2
Auto8.2
Teleop81.9
End0.0
red by 50.6
904
#11
39.40.3
39.139.4
Auto0.8
Teleop38.6
End0.0
Second
548
#2
73.10.4
71.872.2
Auto2.1
Teleop71.0
End0.0
red by 48.7
5498
#20
24.50.3
24.224.5
Auto0.7
Teleop23.8
End0.0
Third
4395
#24
18.00.4
16.717.1
Auto0.8
Teleop17.2
End0.0
blue by 4.4
5203
#19
22.40.3
22.122.4
Auto0.4
Teleop22.0
End0.0