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Red200
54873.1
102390.0
439518.0
Blue130
21754.8
213762.8
377320.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18212550100150200250300200130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
90.00.3
89.489.7
Auto8.2
Teleop81.9
End0.0
red by 27.2
62.80.1
63.062.8
Auto0.3
Teleop62.5
End0.0
Second
548
#2
73.10.3
72.472.8
Auto2.1
Teleop71.0
End0.0
red by 18.3
217
#7
54.80.1
55.054.8
Auto0.6
Teleop54.2
End0.0
Third
4395
#24
18.00.3
17.317.7
Auto0.8
Teleop17.2
End0.0
blue by 2.1
3773
#30
20.10.1
20.220.1
Auto0.3
Teleop19.8
End0.0