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Red152
21754.8
213762.8
377320.1
Blue122
568828.8
354225.7
366828.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14665050100200152122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.80.3
63.263.5
Auto0.3
Teleop62.5
End0.0
red by 34.1
5688
#12
28.80.7
28.128.8
Auto0.5
Teleop28.3
End0.0
Second
217
#7
54.80.3
55.255.5
Auto0.6
Teleop54.2
End0.0
red by 26.7
3668
#29
28.20.7
27.528.2
Auto0.4
Teleop27.7
End0.0
Third
3773
#30
20.10.3
20.520.8
Auto0.3
Teleop19.8
End0.0
blue by 5.6
25.70.7
25.025.7
Auto0.3
Teleop25.4
End0.0