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Red166
364158.3
118959.9
525215.2
Blue155
332236.8
86243.1
283228.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13197050150200166155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.90.6
58.959.5
Auto0.9
Teleop59.0
End0.0
red by 16.8
862
#10
43.10.8
42.243.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop43.3
End0.0
Second
58.30.6
57.357.9
Auto0.4
Teleop58.0
End0.0
red by 21.6
3322
#14
36.80.8
36.036.8
Auto0.6
Teleop36.2
End0.0
Third
5252
#21
15.20.6
14.214.8
Auto0.2
Teleop15.0
End0.0
blue by 13.2
2832
#16
28.40.8
27.628.4
Auto0.4
Teleop28.0
End0.0