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Red82
354742.7
438149.4
24022.1
Blue126
332236.8
86243.1
283228.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114992040608014016018082126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.40.6
50.049.4
Auto0.2
Teleop49.2
End0.0
red by 6.3
862
#10
43.10.4
42.142.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop43.3
End0.0
Second
42.70.6
43.242.7
Auto1.1
Teleop41.5
End0.0
red by 5.9
3322
#14
36.80.4
35.836.2
Auto0.6
Teleop36.2
End0.0
Third
240
#22
22.10.6
22.622.1
Auto0.2
Teleop21.9
End0.0
blue by 6.3
2832
#16
28.40.4
27.427.9
Auto0.4
Teleop28.0
End0.0