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Red154
364185.0
4859.3
11157.2
Blue180
10768.8
46963.7
54891.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions168231050100150200250300350400154180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3641
#18
85.01.5
71.369.9
Auto0.2
Teleop84.8
End0.0
blue by 6.7
548
#14
91.72.5
90.487.9
Auto1.7
Teleop90.0
End0.0
Second
48
#52
59.31.5
61.259.7
Auto0.2
Teleop59.0
End0.0
blue by 9.5
107
#54
68.82.5
69.767.3
Auto7.8
Teleop61.0
End0.0
Third
111
#23
57.21.5
51.449.9
Auto0.7
Teleop56.5
End0.0
blue by 6.6
469
#51
63.72.5
69.166.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop64.2
End0.0