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Red20
52047.4
364118.3
283429.3
Blue17
51617.6
83013.9
125414.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47310204060801001201402017

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.32.2
22.220.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop29.3
End0.0
red by 14.6
1254
#20
14.61.0
9.48.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.7
End0.0
Second
3641
#26
18.32.2
15.413.2
Auto0.1
Teleop18.1
End0.0
red by 4.4
830
#23
13.90.6
16.215.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.2
End0.0
Third
5204
#37
7.42.2
8.86.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.6
End0.0
blue by 0.2
5161
#30
7.60.6
9.08.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.8
End0.0