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Red72
524817.2
365819.8
440912.2
Blue60
365627.7
440810.8
387523.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305601001507260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.81.8
19.821.6
Auto0.2
Teleop19.6
End0.0
blue by 7.9
27.70.3
27.227.5
Auto0.9
Teleop26.8
End0.0
Second
17.21.8
11.513.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.2
End0.0
blue by 6.4
23.60.3
16.917.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.7
End0.0
Third
4409
#15
12.23.0
4.27.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.3
End0.0
red by 1.3
4408
#31
10.80.5
10.210.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.9
End0.0