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Red221
364168.6
3380.6
400352.0
Blue182
504858.3
150248.0
49447.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions195119050100150250300221182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#5
80.61.8
77.078.9
Auto7.3
Teleop73.3
End0.0
red by 22.3
5048
#10
58.32.3
48.951.2
Auto0.6
Teleop57.7
End0.0
Second
68.61.8
64.566.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop68.9
End0.0
red by 20.6
1502
#42
48.02.3
44.146.5
Auto0.4
Teleop47.7
End0.0
Third
4003
#44
52.01.8
48.750.5
Auto10.5
Teleop41.5
End0.0
red by 4.2
494
#58
47.92.3
42.344.6
Auto11.1
Teleop36.8
End0.0