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Red102
496767.5
247433.5
171145.9
Blue113
31478.2
102397.2
6656.4
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114237050150200300350400102113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4967
#13
67.51.8
63.461.6
Auto10.4
Teleop57.1
End0.0
blue by 29.7
97.25.7
95.890.1
Auto11.3
Teleop85.9
End0.0
Second
1711
#41
45.91.8
39.838.0
Auto1.4
Teleop44.5
End0.0
blue by 32.3
314
#12
78.25.7
80.474.7
Auto0.6
Teleop77.6
End0.0
Third
2474
#97
33.51.8
34.232.4
Auto0.9
Teleop32.6
End0.0
blue by 22.9
66
#25
56.45.7
50.044.3
Auto2.2
Teleop54.2
End0.0