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Red79
332246.4
556238.6
516733.1
Blue148
448228.4
550543.1
365639.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117895010015020079148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3322
#60
46.41.9
42.340.4
Auto0.9
Teleop45.5
End0.0
red by 3.3
5505
#63
43.12.6
39.842.4
Auto0.9
Teleop42.2
End0.0
Second
5562
#69
38.61.9
34.632.7
Auto0.6
Teleop38.0
End0.0
blue by 1.3
3656
#43
39.92.6
34.637.2
Auto0.2
Teleop39.8
End0.0
Third
5167
#90
33.11.9
40.238.3
Auto-0.7
Teleop33.8
End0.0
red by 4.8
4482
#73
28.42.6
22.525.1
Auto1.9
Teleop26.5
End0.0