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Red12
43687.5
440810.8
553512.8
Blue11
567511.0
364118.3
52057.6
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34290204060801001211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5535
#11
12.81.9
14.812.9
Auto0.2
Teleop12.6
End0.0
blue by 5.5
3641
#26
18.31.2
13.212.1
Auto0.1
Teleop18.1
End0.0
Second
4408
#31
10.81.9
10.78.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.9
End0.0
blue by 0.1
5675
#28
11.01.2
7.66.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.0
End0.0
Third
4368
#34
7.51.9
9.47.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.6
End0.0
blue by 0.1
5205
#36
7.61.2
10.18.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.6
End0.0