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Red57
438138.1
56105.7
440912.2
Blue53
562310.5
167723.0
152812.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4520060801001201405753

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.10.7
27.928.6
Auto0.3
Teleop37.8
End0.0
red by 15.0
23.02.4
10.312.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.1
End0.0
Second
4409
#15
12.21.2
7.28.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 0.3
1528
#19
12.42.4
6.08.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.5
End0.0
Third
5610
#38
5.71.2
7.89.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.8
End0.0
blue by 4.8
5623
#27
10.52.4
8.310.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.6
End0.0