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Red207
496767.5
21757.1
309849.6
Blue215
86250.0
364168.6
6766.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14818550100200250300207215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4967
#13
67.52.4
63.565.9
Auto10.4
Teleop57.1
End0.0
blue by 1.1
68.61.8
66.968.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop68.9
End0.0
Second
217
#27
57.12.4
53.455.7
Auto0.1
Teleop57.0
End0.0
blue by 9.3
67
#37
66.41.8
72.274.0
Auto6.8
Teleop59.6
End0.0
Third
3098
#31
49.62.4
42.945.2
Auto5.7
Teleop44.0
End0.0
blue by 0.3
862
#53
50.01.8
46.848.6
Auto-1.5
Teleop51.5
End0.0