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Red200
83029.3
332246.4
205468.9
Blue238
354753.3
31478.2
22663.6
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112185050150200250300200238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2054
#20
68.93.6
71.575.1
Auto14.1
Teleop54.9
End0.0
blue by 9.2
314
#12
78.22.9
75.078.0
Auto0.6
Teleop77.6
End0.0
Second
3322
#60
46.43.6
37.441.1
Auto0.9
Teleop45.5
End0.0
blue by 17.2
226
#8
63.62.9
56.959.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop63.9
End0.0
Third
830
#70
29.33.6
18.422.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop29.6
End0.0
blue by 24.0
3547
#26
53.32.9
47.950.8
Auto2.1
Teleop51.2
End0.0