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Red122
553429.1
377031.0
207536.7
Blue203
54883.8
438445.4
261946.5
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71166050100150200250122203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2075
#86
36.71.7
34.235.9
Auto4.2
Teleop32.5
End0.0
blue by 47.1
548
#3
83.82.3
75.477.7
Auto1.5
Teleop82.3
End0.0
Second
3770
#99
31.01.7
28.430.0
Auto0.6
Teleop30.4
End0.0
blue by 15.5
2619
#68
46.52.3
40.643.0
Auto1.3
Teleop45.1
End0.0
Third
5534
#93
29.11.7
26.227.9
Auto0.4
Teleop28.7
End0.0
blue by 16.3
4384
#28
45.42.3
40.843.1
Auto1.0
Teleop44.4
End0.0