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Red184
102554.6
400352.0
362049.9
Blue84
276754.2
552423.4
550543.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1491215010020025018484

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1025
#19
54.61.7
54.756.4
Auto1.9
Teleop52.7
End0.0
red by 0.3
2767
#21
54.22.3
61.058.6
Auto-0.6
Teleop54.8
End0.0
Second
4003
#44
52.01.7
47.649.3
Auto10.5
Teleop41.5
End0.0
red by 8.9
5505
#63
43.12.3
43.140.8
Auto0.9
Teleop42.2
End0.0
Third
3620
#24
49.91.7
48.249.8
Auto0.4
Teleop49.5
End0.0
red by 26.5
5524
#84
23.42.3
26.223.9
Auto0.5
Teleop22.8
End0.0