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Red105
546038.3
46964.6
567528.2
Blue161
28050.2
353644.0
240543.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124123110120130140150160105161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#38
64.61.2
64.163.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop65.0
End0.0
red by 14.4
280
#56
50.21.7
45.647.3
Auto0.8
Teleop49.5
End0.0
Second
5460
#59
38.31.2
34.433.2
Auto0.2
Teleop38.1
End0.0
blue by 5.7
3536
#29
44.01.7
43.144.8
Auto2.0
Teleop41.9
End0.0
Third
5675
#74
28.21.2
30.229.0
Auto-0.9
Teleop29.0
End0.0
blue by 15.2
2405
#62
43.41.7
39.140.8
Auto1.1
Teleop42.3
End0.0