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Red150
50351.4
132238.1
353826.7
Blue178
8564.1
368849.3
504659.4
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94175050150200250300150178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#46
51.42.0
47.048.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop51.7
End0.0
blue by 12.7
85
#16
64.10.5
62.763.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop64.7
End0.0
Second
1322
#64
38.12.0
37.739.7
Auto1.9
Teleop36.2
End0.0
blue by 21.3
59.40.5
59.660.1
Auto0.0
Teleop59.4
End0.0
Third
3538
#96
26.72.0
25.827.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop27.0
End0.0
blue by 22.7
3688
#47
49.30.5
46.046.5
Auto0.2
Teleop49.2
End0.0