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Red65
283429.3
438138.1
567511.0
Blue58
125414.6
150419.6
364118.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78420501001506558

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.10.2
36.936.8
Auto0.3
Teleop37.8
End0.0
red by 18.5
1504
#13
19.60.2
18.418.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.8
End0.0
Second
29.30.2
28.128.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop29.3
End0.0
red by 11.0
3641
#26
18.30.2
17.117.2
Auto0.1
Teleop18.1
End0.0
Third
5675
#28
11.00.2
9.89.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.0
End0.0
blue by 3.7
1254
#20
14.60.2
13.513.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.7
End0.0