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Red28
125414.6
150419.6
364118.3
Blue89
421619.9
167723.0
516216.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495801001502002889

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1504
#13
19.60.4
19.519.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.8
End0.0
blue by 3.5
23.00.5
23.023.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.1
End0.0
Second
3641
#26
18.30.4
18.217.8
Auto0.1
Teleop18.1
End0.0
blue by 1.7
19.90.5
19.920.4
Auto0.1
Teleop19.9
End0.0
Third
1254
#20
14.60.4
14.614.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.7
End0.0
blue by 1.5
5162
#17
16.20.5
16.216.7
Auto0.3
Teleop15.9
End0.0