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Red70
421619.9
167723.0
516216.2
Blue30
519412.5
525613.1
544812.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions603302040801001201407030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.00.3
22.823.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.1
End0.0
red by 10.0
5256
#10
13.10.0
13.113.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.3
End0.0
Second
19.90.3
19.619.9
Auto0.1
Teleop19.9
End0.0
red by 7.1
5448
#14
12.80.0
12.912.8
Auto0.5
Teleop12.3
End0.0
Third
5162
#17
16.20.3
15.916.2
Auto0.3
Teleop15.9
End0.0
red by 3.6
5194
#12
12.50.0
12.612.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.6
End0.0