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Red116
6766.4
364168.6
511438.8
Blue210
6656.4
496767.5
150248.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions170160100150200250116210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.60.8
68.768.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop68.9
End0.0
red by 1.1
4967
#13
67.50.7
65.966.6
Auto10.4
Teleop57.1
End0.0
Second
67
#37
66.40.8
66.665.8
Auto6.8
Teleop59.6
End0.0
red by 10.0
66
#25
56.40.7
54.955.6
Auto2.2
Teleop54.2
End0.0
Third
5114
#87
38.80.8
39.038.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop38.9
End0.0
blue by 9.2
1502
#42
48.00.7
46.547.2
Auto0.4
Teleop47.7
End0.0