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Octofinal pool 12015 FIRST in Michigan District Championship
Red123
50351.4
22663.6
283450.3
Blue167
21757.1
362049.9
207536.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16413450100150200250123167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#8
63.60.0
63.6→63.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop63.9
End0.0
red by 6.5
217
#27
57.10.0
57.1→57.1
Auto0.1
Teleop57.0
End0.0
Second
503
#46
51.40.0
51.4→51.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop51.7
End0.0
red by 1.6
3620
#24
49.90.0
49.9→49.9
Auto0.4
Teleop49.5
End0.0
Third
2834
#40
50.30.0
50.3→50.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop50.3
End0.0
red by 13.7
2075
#86
36.70.0
36.7→36.7
Auto4.2
Teleop32.5
End0.0