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Red124
521637.2
240543.4
421633.9
Blue155
505344.6
440531.0
571034.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11196406080120140160180124155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2405
#62
43.40.6
42.843.4
Auto1.1
Teleop42.3
End0.0
blue by 1.2
5053
#51
44.62.6
41.944.6
Auto-1.7
Teleop46.3
End0.0
Second
5216
#66
37.20.6
36.637.2
Auto0.2
Teleop37.0
End0.0
red by 2.6
5710
#79
34.62.6
32.034.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop34.9
End0.0
Third
4216
#77
33.90.6
33.333.9
Auto0.3
Teleop33.5
End0.0
red by 2.8
4405
#76
31.02.6
28.431.0
Auto2.1
Teleop29.0
End0.0