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Red66
125414.6
150419.6
364118.3
Blue68
365627.7
345230.3
515211.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions467101001506668

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1504
#13
19.60.2
19.219.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.8
End0.0
blue by 10.7
30.30.0
30.130.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.4
End0.0
Second
3641
#26
18.30.2
17.918.2
Auto0.1
Teleop18.1
End0.0
blue by 9.5
27.70.0
27.627.6
Auto0.9
Teleop26.8
End0.0
Third
1254
#20
14.60.2
14.314.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.7
End0.0
red by 2.9
5152
#21
11.70.0
11.611.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.9
End0.0