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Red50
448215.9
387523.6
562310.5
Blue25
519412.5
525613.1
544812.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions513602060801001201405025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.60.0
23.823.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.7
End0.0
red by 10.5
5256
#10
13.10.2
13.413.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.3
End0.0
Second
4482
#16
15.90.0
16.116.1
Auto0.9
Teleop15.0
End0.0
red by 3.1
5448
#14
12.80.2
13.112.9
Auto0.5
Teleop12.3
End0.0
Third
5623
#27
10.50.0
10.710.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.6
End0.0
blue by 2.0
5194
#12
12.50.2
12.812.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.6
End0.0