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Red118
161977.1
33081.2
165741.9
Blue124
171142.0
286736.7
364185.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions188155100200250300118124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330
#22
81.23.6
75.371.7
Auto2.3
Teleop78.9
End0.0
blue by 3.8
3641
#18
85.01.8
76.274.4
Auto0.2
Teleop84.8
End0.0
Second
1619
#26
77.13.6
74.671.0
Auto1.1
Teleop76.0
End0.0
red by 35.1
1711
#61
42.01.8
48.746.9
Auto1.8
Teleop40.2
End0.0
Third
1657
#53
41.94.4
39.435.0
Auto-2.7
Teleop44.6
End0.0
red by 5.2
2867
#64
36.71.8
40.839.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop36.8
End0.0