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Red236
37970.9
261463.2
251250.2
Blue230
173090.1
11157.2
259070.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15420550100250300350236230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#20
70.93.4
63.166.5
Auto1.3
Teleop69.6
End0.0
blue by 19.2
90.11.3
87.889.0
Auto10.1
Teleop80.0
End0.0
Second
2614
#44
63.23.4
57.060.4
Auto2.3
Teleop60.9
End0.0
blue by 7.0
2590
#40
70.21.3
70.271.4
Auto1.0
Teleop69.1
End0.0
Third
2512
#60
50.23.4
48.251.6
Auto7.2
Teleop43.0
End0.0
blue by 7.0
111
#23
57.21.3
46.848.1
Auto0.7
Teleop56.5
End0.0