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Red144
212291.1
31652.1
50364.7
Blue194
382482.0
541358.6
24551.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19416650100150250300144194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
#12
91.12.6
83.280.6
Auto-1.5
Teleop92.6
End0.0
red by 9.1
3824
#24
82.00.9
76.076.9
Auto-0.7
Teleop82.7
End0.0
Second
503
#27
64.72.6
51.649.0
Auto-1.1
Teleop65.8
End0.0
red by 6.1
5413
#25
58.60.9
52.753.6
Auto0.4
Teleop58.2
End0.0
Third
316
#65
52.12.6
61.759.1
Auto1.7
Teleop50.4
End0.0
red by 1.1
245
#41
51.00.9
48.149.0
Auto0.9
Teleop50.0
End0.0