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Red182
552423.4
364168.6
213770.1
Blue118
6656.4
560340.0
516733.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15212350100200250182118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.11.5
66.668.1
Auto0.3
Teleop69.7
End0.0
red by 13.6
66
#25
56.40.4
52.251.8
Auto2.2
Teleop54.2
End0.0
Second
68.61.5
62.163.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop68.9
End0.0
red by 28.6
5603
#57
40.00.4
41.040.6
Auto1.1
Teleop38.9
End0.0
Third
5524
#84
23.41.5
24.125.5
Auto0.5
Teleop22.8
End0.0
blue by 9.8
5167
#90
33.10.4
38.938.5
Auto-0.7
Teleop33.8
End0.0