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Red64
360254.6
440531.0
556238.6
Blue65
21757.1
400352.0
567430.1
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions921480502002503006465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3602
#17
54.62.0
48.146.0
Auto1.2
Teleop53.4
End0.0
blue by 2.5
217
#27
57.14.0
55.051.0
Auto0.1
Teleop57.0
End0.0
Second
5562
#69
38.62.0
34.532.5
Auto0.6
Teleop38.0
End0.0
blue by 13.4
4003
#44
52.04.0
53.049.0
Auto10.5
Teleop41.5
End0.0
Third
4405
#76
31.02.0
21.719.7
Auto2.1
Teleop29.0
End0.0
red by 0.9
5674
#95
30.14.0
36.432.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop30.5
End0.0