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Red90
364143.2
28041.9
440519.9
Blue45
3139.4
506624.1
24420.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions684401001509045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.21.2
23.124.3
Auto0.3
Teleop42.9
End0.0
red by 19.1
5066
#23
24.10.4
18.818.4
Auto0.4
Teleop23.7
End0.0
Second
280
#5
41.91.2
32.533.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop42.2
End0.0
red by 21.7
244
#37
20.20.2
20.420.1
Auto0.1
Teleop20.2
End0.0
Third
4405
#30
19.91.2
11.212.4
Auto0.6
Teleop19.3
End0.0
red by 10.5
313
#38
9.40.2
10.410.1
Auto0.6
Teleop8.8
End0.0