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Red51
214525.0
52175.0
511439.3
Blue87
476817.7
553121.5
283223.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions513802060801001205187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.30.0
26.826.8
Auto0.1
Teleop39.3
End0.0
red by 15.9
2832
#18
23.42.3
13.515.8
Auto0.8
Teleop22.6
End0.0
Second
25.00.0
17.017.0
Auto0.5
Teleop24.4
End0.0
red by 3.5
5531
#22
21.52.3
12.714.9
Auto0.2
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Third
5217
#40
5.00.0
7.47.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop5.3
End0.0
blue by 12.6
4768
#19
17.72.3
15.617.9
Auto0.3
Teleop17.4
End0.0