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Red26
544812.8
519412.5
567511.0
Blue1
423713.1
364118.3
562310.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2439050100150200261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5448
#14
12.80.1
7.37.2
Auto0.5
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 5.4
3641
#26
18.32.6
18.315.7
Auto0.1
Teleop18.1
End0.0
Second
5194
#12
12.50.1
12.312.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.6
End0.0
blue by 0.6
4237
#24
13.12.6
8.05.5
Auto0.2
Teleop12.9
End0.0
Third
5675
#28
11.00.1
7.47.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.0
End0.0
red by 0.5
5623
#27
10.52.6
11.79.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.6
End0.0