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Red96
413043.6
191866.5
353826.7
Blue100
364176.2
233757.4
543623.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12815605010020025030096100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1918
#12
66.50.0
66.566.5
Auto0.4
Teleop66.0
End0.0
blue by 9.7
76.20.0
76.276.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop76.4
End0.0
Second
43.60.0
43.643.6
Auto-0.8
Teleop44.4
End0.0
blue by 13.8
2337
#19
57.40.0
57.457.4
Auto1.9
Teleop55.5
End0.0
Third
3538
#29
26.70.0
26.726.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop27.0
End0.0
red by 3.5
5436
#22
23.20.0
23.223.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.3
End0.0