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Red103
21754.8
213762.8
377320.1
Blue124
364158.3
118959.9
525215.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1371246080100160180200103124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.80.6
63.663.0
Auto0.3
Teleop62.5
End0.0
red by 2.9
59.90.1
59.058.9
Auto0.9
Teleop59.0
End0.0
Second
217
#7
54.80.6
55.655.0
Auto0.6
Teleop54.2
End0.0
blue by 3.5
58.30.1
57.457.3
Auto0.4
Teleop58.0
End0.0
Third
3773
#30
20.10.6
20.820.2
Auto0.3
Teleop19.8
End0.0
red by 4.9
5252
#21
15.20.1
14.314.2
Auto0.2
Teleop15.0
End0.0