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Red156
505344.6
364168.6
504659.4
Blue196
366838.1
353946.4
54883.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124139050100200250300350400156196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.61.2
58.359.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop68.9
End0.0
blue by 15.2
548
#3
83.82.7
73.175.8
Auto1.5
Teleop82.3
End0.0
Second
59.41.2
40.842.0
Auto0.0
Teleop59.4
End0.0
red by 13.0
3539
#39
46.42.7
40.142.9
Auto1.2
Teleop45.2
End0.0
Third
5053
#51
44.61.2
32.133.4
Auto-1.7
Teleop46.3
End0.0
red by 6.5
3668
#80
38.12.7
28.230.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop38.2
End0.0