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Red107
132238.1
546038.3
560340.0
Blue106
526041.8
499426.1
550936.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions888360100120107106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5603
#57
40.00.8
33.734.6
Auto1.1
Teleop38.9
End0.0
blue by 1.8
5260
#34
41.81.0
31.932.8
Auto0.3
Teleop41.5
End0.0
Second
5460
#59
38.30.8
29.630.4
Auto0.2
Teleop38.1
End0.0
red by 1.7
5509
#71
36.61.0
30.731.6
Auto0.4
Teleop36.2
End0.0
Third
1322
#64
38.10.8
27.027.8
Auto1.9
Teleop36.2
End0.0
red by 12.0
4994
#98
26.11.0
23.924.9
Auto0.7
Teleop25.4
End0.0