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Red116
2754.2
295957.1
24545.9
Blue116
102397.2
504858.3
440531.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116144050100200250300116116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2959
#22
57.10.4
43.142.6
Auto1.2
Teleop55.9
End0.0
blue by 40.1
97.21.1
90.088.9
Auto11.3
Teleop85.9
End0.0
Second
27
#55
54.20.4
39.739.3
Auto1.6
Teleop52.6
End0.0
blue by 4.2
5048
#10
58.31.1
34.633.4
Auto0.6
Teleop57.7
End0.0
Third
245
#61
45.90.4
41.941.5
Auto1.0
Teleop44.9
End0.0
red by 14.9
4405
#76
31.01.1
19.918.8
Auto2.1
Teleop29.0
End0.0