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Red149
506624.1
364143.2
21750.1
Blue191
6778.9
511439.3
5137.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94138050200250300149191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#3
50.12.2
47.850.0
Auto0.4
Teleop49.7
End0.0
blue by 28.9
67
#1
78.92.7
70.373.1
Auto10.7
Teleop68.2
End0.0
Second
43.22.2
36.438.6
Auto0.3
Teleop42.9
End0.0
red by 3.9
39.32.7
30.833.5
Auto0.1
Teleop39.3
End0.0
Third
5066
#23
24.12.7
20.222.9
Auto0.4
Teleop23.7
End0.0
blue by 13.2
51
#14
37.32.7
34.937.7
Auto0.8
Teleop36.5
End0.0