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Red111
125031.5
570815.4
436241.1
Blue128
296036.9
440519.9
2739.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7284050100150200250300111128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4362
#13
41.12.3
35.537.8
Auto0.2
Teleop40.8
End0.0
red by 1.3
27
#10
39.72.1
38.440.5
Auto0.3
Teleop39.5
End0.0
Second
1250
#15
31.52.3
27.429.7
Auto0.9
Teleop30.6
End0.0
blue by 5.3
36.92.1
32.134.2
Auto0.4
Teleop36.5
End0.0
Third
5708
#31
15.42.8
13.816.6
Auto0.4
Teleop14.9
End0.0
blue by 4.5
4405
#30
19.92.1
15.217.3
Auto0.6
Teleop19.3
End0.0