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Red201
6766.4
364168.6
511438.8
Blue103
102554.6
360254.6
332246.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17214650100200250201103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.60.0
68.768.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop68.9
End0.0
red by 14.0
3602
#17
54.60.0
54.654.6
Auto1.2
Teleop53.4
End0.0
Second
67
#37
66.40.0
66.666.6
Auto6.8
Teleop59.6
End0.0
red by 11.9
1025
#19
54.60.0
54.654.6
Auto1.9
Teleop52.7
End0.0
Third
5114
#87
38.80.0
39.039.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop38.9
End0.0
blue by 7.6
3322
#60
46.40.0
46.446.4
Auto0.9
Teleop45.5
End0.0