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Octofinal pool 152015 FIRST in Michigan District Championship
Red238
54883.8
102397.2
171145.9
Blue150
205468.9
8564.1
233747.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22416650100150200250300350238150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1023
#1
97.20.0
95.9→95.9
Auto11.3
Teleop85.9
End0.0
red by 28.3
2054
#20
68.90.0
69.2→69.2
Auto14.1
Teleop54.9
End0.0
Second
548
#3
83.80.0
82.5→82.5
Auto1.5
Teleop82.3
End0.0
red by 19.7
85
#16
64.10.0
64.4→64.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop64.7
End0.0
Third
1711
#41
45.90.0
44.6→44.6
Auto1.4
Teleop44.5
End0.0
blue by 1.7
2337
#50
47.50.0
47.8→47.8
Auto2.9
Teleop44.6
End0.0