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Red206
7064.3
171145.9
22663.6
Blue154
551728.1
556238.6
364168.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16812050100150200250300206154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#4
64.32.0
62.464.3
Auto8.9
Teleop55.4
End0.0
blue by 4.3
68.61.1
67.768.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop68.9
End0.0
Second
226
#8
63.62.0
61.763.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop63.9
End0.0
red by 25.0
5562
#69
38.61.1
37.538.6
Auto0.6
Teleop38.0
End0.0
Third
1711
#41
45.92.0
42.644.6
Auto1.4
Teleop44.5
End0.0
red by 17.8
5517
#100
28.11.1
27.028.1
Auto1.7
Teleop26.4
End0.0