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Red192
332246.4
213770.1
507234.0
Blue181
368849.3
83029.3
360254.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14311650100200192181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.12.4
68.670.9
Auto0.3
Teleop69.7
End0.0
red by 15.4
3602
#17
54.62.8
51.854.6
Auto1.2
Teleop53.4
End0.0
Second
3322
#60
46.42.4
44.046.4
Auto0.9
Teleop45.5
End0.0
blue by 2.9
3688
#47
49.32.8
46.549.3
Auto0.2
Teleop49.2
End0.0
Third
5072
#65
34.02.4
31.634.0
Auto0.4
Teleop33.6
End0.0
red by 4.7
830
#70
29.32.8
26.529.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop29.6
End0.0